"For each combination of customer and merchandise, there is an optimal cost-to-serve strategy."
--Booze Allen Hamilton
Booze Allen Hamilton yesterday published an article titled "
The Hidden Costs of Clicks," by Tim Laseter, Elliot Rabinovich, and Angela Huang. The article's key finding: that the more service an online customer is likely to require, the harder it is to make money. That's why 13% of both book and office supply U.S. sales happen online versus only 2.7% for furniture and 1% of U.S. food and retail. Before a company decides to sell online, it should factor in costs for things like returns, shipping, customer handholding, and the dissatisfaction customers feel when they have to wait a long time for products to be custom made. If these costs are too high, relative to the what enough customers are willing to pay, than the business is not worth the investment.
The article goes on to say the decision to invest should not always be yes or no. Different products in the same category may lend themselves to a variety of channel strategies and companies should modulate channel selection like they modulate other aspects of their marketing, like price or the content of promotional messages.
The cost-to-serve trap seems pretty obvious, doesn't it? Yet a lot of investors still fell in. Now, what I'm wondering is whether there are still "obvious" traps out there waiting. After all, today's Internet looks much different than it did when Amazon and furniture.com were hot -- and people might get lulled into thinking that fundamentals like cost-to-serve no longer apply.
Today's hot products are not the tangibles, like office supplies, but higher value intangibles like information, entertainment, and advice. Here, cost-to-serve could be measured -- not in shipping weight or number of boxes returned -- but in the time spent by high-value thought contributors. Take blogs -- one of the "heaviest" ways of servicing "intangibles" customers. Some commentators (like Slate.com's Daniel Gross)
claim blogs are already overvalued. Others, like blog thought leader Amy Gahran ("
Blog Bubble Bursting? Get a Grip"), counter that a blog, like any communications medium, should be used intelligently, not blindly. She also says that some channels (like blog networks) "take a ton of effort, skill, and time" -- in other words, may have an inherently higher cost to serve than they're worth.
There is little data on this subject. However, here's a start: Boston-based Backbone Media's survey of 97 corporate bloggers in "
Corporate Blogging: Is It Worth the Hype?"